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clarodina
 

Registered: Feb 2007
Posts: 348

 

07-27-12 08:44 PM

how often does volatility smile or skew changes shape or they are rather not changing to expiry?

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cdcaveman
 

Registered: Aug 2011
Posts: 3514

 

07-27-12 09:00 PM

you should familiarize yourself with how the smile typically changes with different volatilities.. use historic pricing on options to see how it changes with the different volatility assumptions.. its different of course in every security in every situation.. for what are you trading?

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clarodina
 

Registered: Feb 2007
Posts: 348

 

07-27-12 10:44 PM

Does the volatility shape frequently to expiry or the shape generally remain with different volatility level? stk

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cdcaveman
 

Registered: Aug 2011
Posts: 3514

 

07-27-12 11:38 PM

Does the volatility shape frequently to expire??? Make sense of that

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atticus
 

Registered: Mar 2007
Posts: 12608

 

07-27-12 11:55 PM


Quote from clarodina:

Does the volatility shape frequently to expiry or the shape generally remain with different volatility level? stk



It generally gets steeper (in index) as you approach expiration. Of course the x-delta risk-reversal vol% in puts(itm calls) will decline as the index rallies.

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sle
 

Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 1609

 

07-28-12 12:37 AM


Quote from atticus:
It generally gets steeper (in index) as you approach expiration.


Actually, in root-time space the skew gets flatter. That is, if you are adjusting the slope by the square-root of time, it gets slightly flatter as it approaches maturity. This, of course, begs the question what is the best measure of skew and nobody could answer that (footnote 1) for a general case.

In addition, trading the skew is a tricky business, caveat emptor, but there are a lot of opportunities. I have like 6 models of the skew and some 10 different trading strategies that I do.

footnote 1. this question ranks right behind "how many pairs of shoes does a woman really need?"

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