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elcowen
 

Registered: Feb 2009
Posts: 25

 

06-21-12 04:13 PM

What do you look at to trade power? Natural gas market, weather, or what?

Thanks

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ogarbitrage
 

Registered: Mar 2008
Posts: 781

 

06-21-12 04:18 PM

natgas/coal prices, hydro/nuke capacity, iso/nodal loads, heating/cooling degree days, day ahead weather, spot weather, etc. etc. etc. etc. it's not basic.

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elcowen
 

Registered: Feb 2009
Posts: 25

 

06-21-12 04:23 PM

How do you get all that information? Do you need a bloomberg terminal? Would PJM website have capacity numbers? What are you looking at when you look at ISO loads and capacity numbers?

Thanks

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bone
ET Sponsor

Registered: Apr 2002
Posts: 4317

 

06-22-12 03:12 PM

This is the deepest rabbit-hole in trading - much more so than interest rates IMO. Fuels, weather, transmission, generating unit availability, ISOs and the Incremental/Decremental Markets, bilateral OTC forwards and financially cleared forwards, ICAP Chapel Hill showing you one thing and Amerex Houston showing you something else entirely, arguing with ICE in Houston over settlement marks, etc. etc.

Complex, multi-dimensional, not easily summarized. Resists modeling.

Don't plan on buying a couple books and assuming you are 'informed'.

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Spread, Relative Value, and Correlation Trading Instruction from a Professional Trader. The only thing that matters are Clients making money IN LIVE MARKETS. Why not interview my clients for yourself on an independent basis. My typical client is an outright directional trader looking to pick up an industry-recognized specialty technique. http://www.spreadprofessor.com

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hoop121
 

Registered: Apr 2012
Posts: 134

 

06-22-12 04:23 PM

May I ask why you are asking?

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ogarbitrage
 

Registered: Mar 2008
Posts: 781

 

06-22-12 04:28 PM

Just get long spot NYISO and pray for capacity outages. Worked the last few weeks.

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