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indextrader7
 

Registered: Apr 2012
Posts: 75

 

04-14-12 10:14 PM

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indextrader7
 

Registered: Apr 2012
Posts: 75

 

04-14-12 10:29 PM

The two real drivers of profitability:

win%(how often you are correct),

and win:loss ratio (the size of your average win:average loss)

Most all my trading stats are calculated from TICKS NOT DOLLARS. Ticks don't lie and they speak the same language to everyone.

winpercentage.gif
This has been downloaded 110 time(s).

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Zr1Trader
 

Registered: Dec 2010
Posts: 1538

 

04-14-12 10:29 PM

Thanks for sharing,


Would you mind sharing how you calculate your position size? Do you keep it the same or switch it up based on stats you have of a setup/pattern working out?

Do you usually give yourself 1 add per trade?

I think this will turn out to be a good journal .

Regards

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indextrader7
 

Registered: Apr 2012
Posts: 75

 

04-14-12 10:34 PM

Here's the second driver: win:loss ratio

I forgot to mention, each data point on these charts is for the last 20 trades.

The win% is simply the win % for the last 20 trades.

The win:loss ratio is the average win: average loss over the past 20 trades.

winlossratio.gif
This has been downloaded 102 time(s).

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indextrader7
 

Registered: Apr 2012
Posts: 75

 

04-14-12 10:39 PM


Quote from Zr1Trader:

Thanks for sharing,


Would you mind sharing how you calculate your position size?

Do you usually give yourself 1 add per trade?

I think this will turn out to be a good journal .

Regards



Pretty simple position size calculation. How far away will the stop loss be? Based on that, how much money am I willing to lose on the trade? Then just do the math for the proper position.

If my stop will be 10 ticks, and I'm comfortable risking $500, then I know I can trade 5 TF contracts @ $50/tick to make it work.

Sometimes I trade a little more or little less on intuition, but still always want to stay within acceptable levels of risk for the trade.

ANYTHING can happen on ANY given trade. Any single trade should not matter. An edge is only a ---higher probability--- of A happening over B. (quoting a lot here from, "trading in the zone" by mark douglas)

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Zr1Trader
 

Registered: Dec 2010
Posts: 1538

 

04-14-12 10:42 PM


Quote from indextrader7:

Pretty simple position size calculation. How far away will the stop loss be? Based on that, how much money am I willing to lose on the trade? Then just do the math for the proper position.

If my stop will be 10 ticks, and I'm comfortable risking $500, then I know I can trade 5 TF contracts @ $50/tick to make it work.

Sometimes I trade a little more or little less on intuition, but still always want to stay within acceptable levels of risk for the trade.

ANYTHING can happen on ANY given trade. Any single trade should not matter. An edge is only a ---higher probability--- of A happening over B. (quoting a lot here from, "trading in the zone" by mark douglas)



Right on,

Thanks

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