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Old Apr 6th, 2012, 03:26 AM   #7
SGlad
 
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: Boston
Posts: 44
//I will use Price Flow Analysis or PFA instead of SG-Analysis to be different in search: looks like "s.g.analysis" and the similar are used already//

so, that is the interesting and important in EURUSD:
1. not ideal but definite direction at scale 4: down and even configuration has "mean line" (bisector) down;
2. let's check: how stable is this down flow?
scale 3 explains us why at scale 4 channel doesn't look ideal:
a slope of mean line of the configuration is just slightly down and we can expect breakout down "soon";
3. at scale 2-3 obviously the most important flow is strong and narrow flow down;
recommendation is as usual : to follow the strong flow if you can control your position closely enough
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Old Apr 7th, 2012, 03:39 AM   #8
SGlad
 
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: Boston
Posts: 44
RURUSD - possible scenario
10 days ago first forecast was created and now is close to be confirmed,
but situation is more interesting because of all important scales have clear illustrative configurations accenting the basics of the PFT
take a closer look:

scale 4 - Amplitude Increase with flow down near possible reversal

scale 3 - configuration "crane" (highlited by green tangent) has come to the logical end: breakout of the last tangent and is ready to show the projected speed (must be soon)

scale 2 - shows how to increase details do not adds information about the process: we see almost the same picture as at scale 3 and more closer does not mean "better"

scale 1 - gives us inside structure of the oscillations at scale 3 and sharp clear overflow from configuration "AmIn" to "AmDec", i.e. from destabilization to stabilization through u-turn

for better understanding of multiscale analysis (the basics of PFA) the same zones at different scale are marked by rectangulars with same color
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Old Apr 7th, 2012, 04:05 AM   #9
SGlad
 
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: Boston
Posts: 44
http://sganalysis.com/2012/04/07/str...rom-the-market

page has been got out of the dust in the archives and translated especially for this Forum members

just few charts didn't included in the paper

thank you for interest
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Old Apr 9th, 2012, 02:06 AM   #10
SGlad
 
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: Boston
Posts: 44
Why do I think PF-Analysis can help to understand and to make better decision?
To answer this question we first have to answer: what does not allow to any person to make right decision?
Everybody knows that there are a looooot of reasons, but my answer: the most important is - a delay. The Dramatic Delay (DD ) appears to be a shadow for any person's action on the market.

Leave the 21 sources of the DD (just saying that DD is included in the nature of the exchange and any other noisy data) and find out how PFA can decrease it.

Do not pay attention to attempts to predict the market: it's not helpful and for many people it is very dangerous: they easily become the blind slave of their own prediction.

Let's return to the PFA and the basic purpose of the PFT: honestly answer to the question: what is going on now?

PFT gives us the important addition to the question saying: "what is going on at that particular scale now?" And allows to choose the main and the secondary scales of the process (MS and SS).

For RURUSD scale 4 was choosed as the MS and scale 3 as SS while scale 1 and 2 are supporting scales for scale 3. Configuration at scale 3 (called "crane") shows us very possible turn up of bisector at the next turn up of the channel. It means that if it will happen we will see at scale 3 turn up of the channel of scale 4 before (!) it could been seen at scale 4 charts. It gives us an advantage and decreases our delay if we decide to enter in the channel moving up.

In other words" the PFA at Secondary Scale allow us to get information about that is going on at Main Scale before it become confirmed there.

For RURUSD this point of unconfirmed turn up is the point to exit from down channel and 1st risky point to enter up.

next posts will be about "how to enter in the channel" and about another advantages which can be taken from applying of the PFT
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Old Apr 10th, 2012, 03:51 AM   #11
SGlad
 
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: Boston
Posts: 44
sorry, have no time to write analysis

for charts take a look at
http://sganalysis.com/2012/04/10/all...april-10-04-am
thanks
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Old Apr 12th, 2012, 02:40 AM   #12
SGlad
 
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: Boston
Posts: 44
I LOVE STARBUCKS

this a beautiful sample of the how it works:
Price Flow Theory and Price Flow Analysis
isn't it?

The main Flow at scale 3 run forward ignoring any instabilities at scale 1, which are quite stabilities at scale 3.
Enjoy the show up to the fireworks ( I hope all of us have enough patience to wait otherwise - what we are doing here? )
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