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snowrider
 

Registered: Jul 2010
Posts: 362

 

01-01-12 07:04 PM

I am starting a new thread for 2012's first half year (Jan - Jun), including EUR, SP, Gold, and JPY. My previous wave counts can be found from:
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showt...threadid=228108

Elliott Wave reference can be found from:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elliott_wave_principle

My labeling for wave degrees in different time frames:
Monthly - [[[I]]], [[[II]]], [[[III]]], [[[IV]]], [[[V]]], [[[A]]], [[[B]]], [[[C]]]
Monthly - [[I]], [[II]], [[III]], [[IV]], [[V]], [[A]], [[B]], [[C]]
Weekly - [I], [II], [III], [IV], [V], [A], [B], [C]
Weekly - I, II, III, IV, V, A, B, C
Daily - 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, a, b, c
Daily - _1, _2, _3, _4, _5, _a, _b, _c
Hourly - __1, __2, __3, __4, __5, __a, __b, __c

My labeling for wave formation in a segment = Wave Name + Wave Formation
For example, [A3] = 3 segments in a wave [A]
For example, [A3][B3][C5] = 3-3-5 formation for waves [A][B][C]

My labeling for zigzag is the combination of R.N. Elliott's classical labeling and my wave formation labeling. DO NOT USE R.P.'s W-X-Y(-X-Z) labeling because it creates confusion and lacks the flexibility of changing wave counts.

I am getting lazy on updating the counts because I don't know how many people are following. I might stop writing this at anytime. If you are an audience of my threds, please PM me to let me know so that I won't forget to keep you updated if I stop writing.

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snowrider
 

Registered: Jul 2010
Posts: 362

 

01-01-12 07:32 PM

01/01/2012 Monthly Charts

Comments are welcome!







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snowrider
 

Registered: Jul 2010
Posts: 362

 

01-01-12 08:15 PM

I just noticed that I had a typo in gold's month chart.

The final target of gold's super bull market could be $1,960. The extension wave [[[V]]].[[IX]] should be labelled as [[[V]]].[[E]].[IX].

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snowrider
 

Registered: Jul 2010
Posts: 362

 

01-02-12 03:08 AM

01/01/2012 SP Monthly Chart Again

An alternative count:

[[[A]]].[[C]] becomes [[[[IV]]]]
[[[B]]] becomes [[[[V]]]]
[[[C]]].[[C]] becomes [[[A]]]
[[[D]]].[[C]] becomes [[[B]]]
If this is the scenario, we are in [[[C]]] now, and it could go to 550-650 when it finishes.


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snowrider
 

Registered: Jul 2010
Posts: 362

 

01-02-12 03:49 AM

Waves [[[A]]]-[[[B]]]-[[[C]]] are not 3-3-5. [[[A]]] is definitely a 3. [[[C]]] is highly possible a 3 too. [[[B]]] could be a 3 or a 5 depending on how we see it.


[[[D]]] and [[[E]]] are part of [[[[IV]]]], where the assumption is that they are in a wave-4's abcde triangle. (See above chart.)

The purple line has the assumption that [[[A]]]-[[[B]]]-[[[C]]]-[[[D]]] have completed, and now we are in [[[E]]] to form [[[[IV]]]]. An alternative count is that [[[A]]]-[[[B]]]-[[[C]]] has completed the [[[[IV]]]], and we are in the early stage of [[[[V]]]].

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snowrider
 

Registered: Jul 2010
Posts: 362

 

01-02-12 03:56 AM


where does your count put the highs in on the sp? i reckon we are going to 1330 ish before trading down into the summer making a decent bounce into end of year


Rothschild - I would guess that SP spot index 1320 area could be where the reversal starts. We need to pay attention if SP ever moves to that area to see if there is any sign of exhaustion.

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