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syswizard
 

Registered: Jun 2004
Posts: 3640

 

08-19-11 12:32 AM

TBT August 24's definitely will be rocking to tomorrow....wow, the premiums are incredible.
I can't believe TBT was at 30+ just 2 weeks ago !!

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keviniyengar
 

Registered: Feb 2009
Posts: 70

 

08-19-11 07:58 AM

TBT (24.15 close)
Aug 24 calls are 0.43/0.47
Sep 24 calls are 1.55/1.58

You meant a great trade in buying Aug 24 or buy sep 24 and sell Aug 24. ( If TBT rallies even with a cusion of 30 cents ,sometimes we will have a loss as Sep 24 will not rally as much as Aug 24)
Buy write is ok. If TBT closes below 24 can sell Sep 24 again.

May be DEC 24-30 {2.52/2.56--.78/0.81}
bull call spread looks interesting.(1x1 not 2)

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syswizard
 

Registered: Jun 2004
Posts: 3640

 

08-19-11 03:09 PM

Yes, bull spread makes sense here for Sept.

Looks like all of the action was/is in the 25 Aug puts....
32,000 contracts open interest !!

BTW: why not 1:2 ?
Chances of going above 30 look so minimal right now.

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syswizard
 

Registered: Jun 2004
Posts: 3640

 

09-02-11 02:13 PM

I was obviously "early" with this one.
Whew....now they're talking the 10 year note going to 1.5% !!!

As usual with the markets: "it will end when it ends".
(the decline in interest dates)

At some point in time, maybe early 2012, staying short the TBT ITM puts will be a great money maker.

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syswizard
 

Registered: Jun 2004
Posts: 3640

 

09-14-11 03:09 AM

Nice move up in TBT Today !
Is the bottom "in" for interest rates ?

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Martinghoul
 

Registered: Jan 2009
Posts: 5641

 

09-14-11 07:37 AM


Quote from syswizard:
Nice move up in TBT Today !
Is the bottom "in" for interest rates ?


A better question for you... Is this the bottom for French banks? Answer that and I'll give you an idea on your question.

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