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clarodina
 

Registered: Feb 2007
Posts: 348

 

11-04-11 08:41 PM

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clarodina
 

Registered: Feb 2007
Posts: 348

 

11-04-11 08:42 PM

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clarodina
 

Registered: Feb 2007
Posts: 348

 

11-04-11 08:56 PM

Rol, some pics for you. One of them is sideway. The other is uptrend and one with period of no trades due to min vol or min price not satisfy. There are other pics with downtrend. Do you have pic of the first one the one with period of no trades? You mentioned you have min vol and min price on your rules for historical testing. You include those sideway curve on layering? You try filtering the sideway curve and the result of live trading didn't out do without filtering? Would you provide some stat?

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Rol
 

Registered: Jul 2009
Posts: 425

 

11-04-11 09:35 PM


Quote from clarodina:

Rol, some pics for you. One of them is sideway. The other is uptrend and one with period of no trades due to min vol or min price not satisfy. There are other pics with downtrend. Do you have pic of the first one the one with period of no trades? You mentioned you have min vol and min price on your rules for historical testing. You include those sideway curve on layering? You try filtering the sideway curve and the result of live trading didn't out do without filtering? Would you provide some stat?



Tradestation does not provide portfolio testing right now, so I don't have stats. Amibroker backtesting is not entirely realistic because it does not use intraday data. I just don't evaluate the individual stock equity curves the way you do. I follow over 1500 symbols, so to micromanage each stock equity curve does not make sense to me. Each separate stock generally does not include enough data points for me to evaluate anyway (usually < 100). I find that only 10% of the equity curves look "ideal". Should I exlude the other 90% and then swing for the fences when one of my favorite picks generates a rare signal? I once tried only including stocks with % profitable > 70%, and profit factor > 2.5. I lost money. The market was not favorable for my strategy at the time. My strategy is simply based upon a concept of buying weakness and selling strength over the short term. I think you are making it more difficult than it is. A sideway curve may not always remain a sideway curve. A downward curve may not always remain a downward curve. An upward curve may not always remain an upward curve. Everything is dynamic and changing.

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Rol
 

Registered: Jul 2009
Posts: 425

 

11-04-11 09:59 PM

code:
Initial Capital (11/1/2011) $81,531 Total Net Profit $714.89 (Per Share) $0.03 Gross Profit $3,818.05 Gross Loss ($3,103.16) Profit Factor 1.23 Total Number of Trades 139 Percent Profitable 39.57% Winning Trades 55 Losing Trades 84 Avg. Trade Net Profit $5.14 Avg. Winning Trade $69.42 Avg. Losing Trade ($36.94) Ratio Avg. Win:Avg. Loss 1.88 Expectancy 0.14 Largest Winning Trade $1,311.66 Largest Losing Trade ($386.32) Max. Consecutive Winning Trades 10 Max. Consecutive Losing Trades 34 Total Shares/Contracts Held 21286 Total Commission $359.66 Return on Initial Capital 0.88% Annual Rate of Return 79.72% Buy & Hold Return -0.12% Trading Period 4 Dys Max. Equity Run-up(Daily) $1,859.69 Date of Max. Equity Run-up 11/3/2011 15:00 Max. Drawdown(Daily) Value ($669.01) Date 11/2/2011 15:00 as % of Initial Capital 0.82% Max. Trade Drawdown ($654.00) Net Worth $83,017 Wkly Performance 0.29% Dollar Gain/Loss $192 S&P Wkly Performance -2.32% YTD Performance 38.28% S&P YTD Performance -0.10% YTD Correlation to S&P 0.62 Real-time Unrealized P/L ($780.96) Real-time Realized P/L (Today) $22.58 Current exposure 61%




I interfered with my system this week in sporadic moments, which shows in the non-uniform curve. I would allow established positions to develop well and good, but then on a few I saw breaking out, I added a few hundred shares, only to see them reverse and stop me out, erasing what gains I had. A couple others I saw breaking down, so I reversed my position and added short, then being whipsawed, and stopped out. I lost $600 on Wednesday trying to short RIMM at the lows of the day, of all stocks! Luckily, a 700 share position in SPY that I held overnight Wednesday netted me $1500 on Thursday.

I think what occurs is when I have some discretionary victories, I then begin getting in a bad habit of losing discipline with my trading, and start overtrading. Knowing this weakness is why I have not been too willing to hedge my longs with discretionary short plays. I start getting reckless with my trading. It is as if I need to either fully automate or not trade at all. Something I have done before is to keep a running tally of how many days I can go without any discretionary trading. If enough trading days pass without interfering, say 10 or so, I begin to lose the urge to meddle. I think I need to come up with an automated hedging solution. Maybe a rule that says that if my DD exceeds 8% and exposure exceeds a certain percentage, then begin buying a short ETF.

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clarodina
 

Registered: Feb 2007
Posts: 348

 

11-10-11 06:46 PM

Rol, trying to search your post on min volume and price filter you use for the filtering out the stks. Whats your min volume and min and lax price do you use for live trading? Typically you have how many stks for live trading satisfying the min vol and price filter? And you mention you have a equal dollar for each stk. You have code autoing the calculation of the size number for order on ts code or the macro for auto placing order? Did not use ts

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