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Expect Positive
 

Registered: Jul 2010
Posts: 135

 

10-27-10 02:02 AM

Michael,

A thought:

You should focus more on the performance of various trend following trading strategies through the years and less on the performance of a select group of managers. I think it would clarify your point and strengthen your argument.

Regards.

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Expect Positive
 

Registered: Jul 2010
Posts: 135

 

10-27-10 02:15 AM


Quote from Ghost of Cutten:

My preferred question would be "does trend following work on stocks where the fundamentals, breaking news-flow, and sentiment are all pointing in the same direction as well?"

Surely shorting a confirmed downtrend with bad fundamentals, negative newsflow, and complacent or bullish sentiment is a better odds play than just shorting every breakout to the downside.



"Surprise follows trend."

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Trend Following
ET Sponsor

Registered: Aug 2004
Posts: 1022

 

10-27-10 02:46 AM


Quote from Expect Positive:

Michael,

A thought:

You should focus more on the performance of various trend following trading strategies through the years and less on the performance of a select group of managers. I think it would clarify your point and strengthen your argument.

Regards.



Perhaps, but people in the know still forget how many people don't know anything on the subject.

__________________
Trend Following Trading
Covel Books: Trend Commandments, The Little Book of Trading, The Complete TurtleTrader & Trend Following
Trend Following Documentary Film: Broke: The New American Dream | Covel Podcast Episodes

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Expect Positive
 

Registered: Jul 2010
Posts: 135

 

10-27-10 03:57 AM


Quote from Trend Following:

Perhaps, but people in the know still forget how many people don't know anything on the subject.


I don't understand what you mean.

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Trend Following
ET Sponsor

Registered: Aug 2004
Posts: 1022

 

10-27-10 04:06 AM

Perhaps you better clarify what you meant to begin with!

__________________
Trend Following Trading
Covel Books: Trend Commandments, The Little Book of Trading, The Complete TurtleTrader & Trend Following
Trend Following Documentary Film: Broke: The New American Dream | Covel Podcast Episodes

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RobertG
 

Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 119

 

10-27-10 06:57 AM

michael, trend following is a very fascinating area. But, don't you think that most retail guys will not be able to withstand it's volatility? go through draw down and walk out a live? interested in your perspective.

BTW, I have read your Complete Turtle Trader and I did enjoy it although I wish there was more reference to the very interesting methodologies you mentioned throughout the book. Maybe more in the second addition?

Lastly: http://www.turtletrader.com/jake-bernstein-forbes.html
This is disappointing coming from an astute guy like you.
Why go through the effort of putting down others regardless of their opinions, reputation, etc. No need to protect us, and to be honest Jake Bernstein has some great books that I have read and enjoyed. You guys are in the same business as far as I am concern, selling ideas.

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