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Engine99
 

Registered: Jul 2007
Posts: 266

 

10-05-10 04:03 AM

attached is an updated correlation performance picture of my trading account and the S&P 500 performance. This reflects 83 trading data points (83 trading days) since I started the journal.
My performance is in blue, red is the S&P 500 performance and yellow is the risk free checking account.

It's hard to beat the S&P. I've too much capital sitting idle most of the time, so I'm thinking about increasing my position size once this market starts to move a little more and/or earnings season is kicking in.

correlation.gif
This has been downloaded 102 time(s).

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Engine99
 

Registered: Jul 2007
Posts: 266

 

10-05-10 07:56 PM

So yesterday I felt super smart and my trading account slowly climbed to a new high while the S&P sucked. Today it <>#@M$$ crashed and had the worst performance since the flash crash, down over 3k4.

Just when you think you've it somewhat figured out and some smooth sailing in front of you the market fucks you over

fireworksintheass.png
This has been downloaded 87 time(s).

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Engine99
 

Registered: Jul 2007
Posts: 266

 

10-08-10 09:30 PM

Devastating trading week (down 2k6). So much for a slightly sideways or down week that I was hoping for last week. I felt like a genius on Monday and since then lost every single day. (daily stats Mon: 1889 Tue:-3447 Wed:-184 Thur: -166 Fri:-729 )
I can't even beat the S&P 500 when it goes up every single day. S1 has a big hedge trade running right now, S2 blew a grand this week, S10 suffered from this bull move and all the other strategies trade so small positions that it really doesn't matter
Shutting down for this week and won't look at stocks or options the entire weekend but spend time with the kids to clear my rage.
I'll be on the road all next week (lovely Texas again), so my systems will be on auto pilot and I'll suffer every evening when I look at the results of this bull market.
Have a good weekend, one frustrated wanna B algo trader


Here are the results in detail
S1: -44
S2: 2569
S10: 6945
S12: -59
S70: -174
S11: 88
Weekly Performance:
-2637
S&P 500 Weekly Performance:
2845
Overall Performance since launch:
9069
S&P 500 Performance since launch:
11927
Risk Free Checking Account Performance since launch:
525

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Engine99
 

Registered: Jul 2007
Posts: 266

 

10-14-10 03:14 AM

This is going to be a terrible trading week. Last two days have been slightly down but today has been down more than 3 grand. I suffer as the market goes up and my systems want it to go down. Needless to say I'm way behind the S&P as well. I'm not even looking at stocks, just gambling @ the poker tables, here's my bankroll there. Too bad that these are low limits (mostly 11$ heads up).

I'm hoping that the earnings season at least puts more capital to work here soon, especially for S2, so far I'm just watching from the sidelines. Trading definitely sucks right now, I may have to step down my size depending on how this week goes.

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syswizard
 

Registered: Jun 2004
Posts: 3615

 

10-14-10 05:12 PM


Quote from Engine99:

so far I'm just watching from the sidelines. Trading definitely sucks right now, I may have to step down my size depending on how this week goes.


Why aren't your algos determining the proper bet size based on recent performance ?
In other words poor performance = reduced bet sizes.

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Engine99
 

Registered: Jul 2007
Posts: 266

 

10-15-10 03:37 AM

syswiz, couple of comments.
1st I appreciate your input. While this blog is mostly for me, you're pretty much the only one providing other idea, so like I said, your input is highly appreciated.

2nd. I'm all ears for ideas ;-). The problem is my systems are mostly mid/long term, usually holding 3 weeks to 3 month. So based on that I always allocate a fixed % of my account for new trades but I agree if there's a better way to trade smaller when I'm not in the zone and trade larger then the systems work well, I should leverage it. I'm just not sure what the right review period is, haven't backtested any of this nor any real handle on when to step up the size or lower it. Based on these holding patterns, do you think if I've three losing weeks in a row I should reduce the size or close the existing positions, or both? Most strategies are mean reversion, so I may close it at just the worst time.

Today was my first non losing day in a long time. I lost the last seven trading sessions. Today I broke even (technically I was up 2 bucks). I'm hoping the bleeding starts to slow down now, I'm also hoping google qualifies for an S2 trade tomorrow. We'll see.

Like I said, your input is welcome

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