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1a2b3cppp
 

Registered: Sep 2008
Posts: 2554

 

03-07-10 01:56 AM

Journal of my method I discuss here:
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showt...threadid=192348

Friday's trades (chart: green arrows = buy, red arrows = sell):
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attac...&postid=2756583

Friday's PnL (PnL screen):
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attac...&postid=2756589

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konviction
 

Registered: Dec 2009
Posts: 1360

 

03-07-10 02:02 AM

Is this an honest attempt at trading fibs with real money?

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1a2b3cppp
 

Registered: Sep 2008
Posts: 2554

 

03-07-10 05:51 AM


Quote from konviction:

Is this an honest attempt at trading fibs with real money?



I explained all this in the other thread, but yes.

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konviction
 

Registered: Dec 2009
Posts: 1360

 

03-08-10 01:12 AM

And you're going to be averaging down at every fib level, like you have been doing in your examples?

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cgeorgan
 

Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 101

 

03-08-10 07:35 PM

I don't know how else to say it but your profit appears to be completely random.

Would you have shown us this if, after buying @ 1133.75 (your initial fill?), ES collapsed 3 points lower? These levels mean nothing.

You can draw a dozen fib lines on a chart and eventually you're going to see prices cross those levels. Does that imply that those prices were "pre-ordained" by your levels?

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1a2b3cppp
 

Registered: Sep 2008
Posts: 2554

 

03-08-10 07:47 PM


Quote from konviction:

And you're going to be averaging down at every fib level, like you have been doing in your examples?



Yes. Well, at 38%, 50% and 62% (or whichever price is closest when there's not an exact match). I average down with this method. I'm sure there will be lots of haters and nay-sayers telling me how bad this is, but with properly defined risk and stop losses there is nothing wrong with averaging down. I know where the hard stop is for every trade before I begin.

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