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BCE
 

Registered: Sep 2002
Posts: 4035

 

02-15-12 02:46 PM


Quote from Visaria:

BCE, re some posts ago, you talked about exiting a position too soon for yourself and for me exiting a position too late! I had a good think about this and have in fact been thinking about it for some time and really feel that the answer is in scaling out.

GM That would work except I usually only trade one contract. So that would be hard for me to scale in or out. But if you trade more than one I agree that could work.

ADD: The one contract is for CL not other contracts.

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BCE
 

Registered: Sep 2002
Posts: 4035

 

02-15-12 02:52 PM


Quote from Visaria:

i exited that position yesterday at 10150, if i had kept some, i would have held to 10200 with stop moved up to b/e

But it pulled back a lot and you could have reentered or even better flipped it at the top short. All of this is easier said than done but doable. The thing is I'm not seeing 4-5 point moves here, just a lot of back and forth up and down in fairly narrow ranges. I'd take 100 to 150 ticks when it's there and then do the next trade. We'll see how it goes.

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BCE
 

Registered: Sep 2002
Posts: 4035

 

02-15-12 03:00 PM


Quote from Visaria:

i exited that position yesterday at 10150, if i had kept some, i would have held to 10200 with stop moved up to b/e

The other thing is it was totally unpredictable it would climb to 102.50. That was from the China helping Europe news. Without that news it doesn't go there. My guess it would climb there came after the China news broke last night. Could have done an overnight trade, but I usually don't. I like to keep an eye on things now.

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BCE
 

Registered: Sep 2002
Posts: 4035

 

02-15-12 03:03 PM

Feb. 15, 2012, 10:00 a.m. EST
Feb. NAHB builder gauge hits more than 4-year high

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - Home builder confidence in the market for new single-family homes climbed in February for the fifth straight month to reach the highest level in more than four years, according to a survey released Wednesday. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo housing market index rose to 29 in February from 25 in January, meaning the gauge has more than doubled since September. Economists polled by MarketWatch had expected a reading of 26. Though that's still far below the level considered "good" - the seasonally adjusted gauge needs a reading of 50 to do that, which hasn't been the case since April 2006 - it does indicate improving sentiment for builders. The home-builder gauge tracks closely with single-family housing starts, with the January data from that series due for release from the Commerce Department on Thursday.

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BCE
 

Registered: Sep 2002
Posts: 4035

 

02-15-12 03:07 PM

Market feels really hyped up this morning, like it's ready to make a big move. Seems jumpy.

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Picaso
 

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 3778

 

02-15-12 03:12 PM

Anyone wants to bet?:

Huge inventories draw --> after 5 minutes we drop a full buck



Good luck/skill everyone!

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