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Quon
 

Registered: Jul 2011
Posts: 616

 

06-11-12 08:46 PM

I'm interested to see what happens with these weekly A downs. We're there in many things now. I'm watching the XLK/AAPL. XLK's weekly could also be a nice bounce off the monthly A up. AAPL's trying to fail now.

A failed weekly A down in XHB would be a nice buy, (if that should happen mind you).


XLE; this is one I'm watching for a strong move higher. I'll be very interested to see what Mr. Fisher has to say tomorrow, (Half-time report). A failed weekly A down here could lead to a confirmed monthly in the next few days, (depends on how you count confirmed monthlies - I don't have one in this space yet).

There are obviously some interesting individual names right now too, but my focus, (given the current environment) is mostly in sector ETFs.

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kinggyppo
 

Registered: May 2006
Posts: 5838

 

06-11-12 08:58 PM


Quote from Quon:

I'm interested to see what happens with these weekly A downs. We're there in many things now. I'm watching the XLK/AAPL. XLK's weekly could also be a nice bounce off the monthly A up. AAPL's trying to fail now.

A failed weekly A down in XHB would be a nice buy, (if that should happen mind you).


XLE; this is one I'm watching for a strong move higher. I'll be very interested to see what Mr. Fisher has to say tomorrow, (Half-time report). A failed weekly A down here could lead to a confirmed monthly in the next few days, (depends on how you count confirmed monthlies - I don't have one in this space yet).

There are obviously some interesting individual names right now too, but my focus, (given the current environment) is mostly in sector ETFs.



I think Fisher would say if you don't spread you are dead!

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Maverick74
 

Registered: Mar 2002
Posts: 17337

 

06-11-12 09:00 PM


Quote from kinggyppo:

UNG looking attractive here, if I had Jim Rogers account I would sell a couple k puts and go buy a new bow tie.



Natty sitting right at the monthly A down.

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Maverick74
 

Registered: Mar 2002
Posts: 17337

 

06-11-12 09:01 PM


Quote from Quon:

I'm interested to see what happens with these weekly A downs. We're there in many things now. I'm watching the XLK/AAPL. XLK's weekly could also be a nice bounce off the monthly A up. AAPL's trying to fail now.

A failed weekly A down in XHB would be a nice buy, (if that should happen mind you).


XLE; this is one I'm watching for a strong move higher. I'll be very interested to see what Mr. Fisher has to say tomorrow, (Half-time report). A failed weekly A down here could lead to a confirmed monthly in the next few days, (depends on how you count confirmed monthlies - I don't have one in this space yet).

There are obviously some interesting individual names right now too, but my focus, (given the current environment) is mostly in sector ETFs.



I'm starting to feel bullish. The harder the market makes it for longs to hold on, the more bullish I get. I think the market is going to slowly become desensitized to Europe. We shall see.

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Quon
 

Registered: Jul 2011
Posts: 616

 

06-11-12 09:03 PM


Quote from kinggyppo:

I think Fisher would say if you don't spread you are dead!



While I certainly see the benefit of spreading, I actually don't, (other than options spreads which aren't really the same - as I typically still take on some level of risk and my bet is directional).

For me, it's all about time frame, and the type of chart I use. I'm able to escape a good deal of noise using higher than average time frames around key ACD levels. If you got long say, that failed monthly A down last week in some names, you're sitting in winners, or you sold some and took profits on the open today.

Just a for instance for anyone who doesn't/can't spread.

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Quon
 

Registered: Jul 2011
Posts: 616

 

06-11-12 09:11 PM

Something else to mention. I posted about taking profits at the open today. If you see action like we did on open, there's nothing wrong with taking profits on your remaining longs too. As Mav's been kind enough to share, a failure at one level is usually a ticket to the opposite level. If you're a worried bull when we can't hold 1325-1330ish, book profits and wait to see where we firm up.

My next level of interest as I mentioned is the weekly A down in most names. If we confirm, I'm looking at the OR for the month to firm, if we blow through that, then the last stop for the bulls is the monthly A down.

That said, ain't nothing wrong with being short while you wait for those levels to firm either, (I'm not however). IMO the OR is just as important a level to watch as the A's.

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