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am123
 

Registered: Jun 2012
Posts: 4

 

07-17-12 01:15 AM

Hi,
I was wondering if there was any relationship, between implied vol and time-to-maturity, found in the market place in general or for specific assets? I cant seem to find anything too good online. For example, would the implied vol ATM differ for a 1 month option vs 1 year option?(holding all other contract specifications constant)
thanks!

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1245
 

Registered: May 2012
Posts: 550

 

07-17-12 01:59 PM


Quote from am123:

Hi,
I was wondering if there was any relationship, between implied vol and time-to-maturity, found in the market place in general or for specific assets? I cant seem to find anything too good online. For example, would the implied vol ATM differ for a 1 month option vs 1 year option?(holding all other contract specifications constant)
thanks!



In equity options, typically the longer dated options have lower implied vols. Commodities can be different. For example, look at the implied vol for GLD which follows gold. The back months are always higher except during big short term moves.

The exception for equity options is at times of very low vols or during holiday periods.

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mathieurrr
 

Registered: Feb 2011
Posts: 21

 

07-17-12 02:02 PM

I believe what your talking about is called the term structure of volatility. There are a few good papers on this site regarding how to analayze and trade it.

http://www.ssrn.com/

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newwurldmn
 

Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 2662

 

07-17-12 02:15 PM


Quote from 1245:

In equity options, typically the longer dated options have lower implied vols. Commodities can be different. For example, look at the implied vol for GLD which follows gold. The back months are always higher except during big short term moves.

The exception for equity options is at times of very low vols or during holiday periods.



In equity options, longer dated options tend to have a higher implied volatility. This is the term structure of vol where there is more uncertainty in the future than now. When things get crazy the term structure becomes inverted and the longer dated has a lower implied vol than the shorter dated. This is because the market starts to believe the that current uncertainty will have a resolution in the future.

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