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Here2learn
 

Registered: May 2009
Posts: 36

 

07-08-12 12:27 AM


Quote from TheBlackHand:

I dont get where the 'today' in your post comes from. Fundamentals arent really responsible for day by day activity if your asking about one particular day - unless shock news hits of course - which would cause a bigger move.

What do you think?



Yeah, that's my point exactly. Fundamentals should not have influenced the spread that much in a single day. There was a big move in the underlying, but unless something fundamental changed, the spread did not have a reason to sustain its move in the short term. It looked like an opportunity to fade the move. In retrospect, it was. I was looking for confirmation from others that I had not overlooked something.


I guess I should have traded it, but then again, it probably would have moved further the other way had the market actually seen me make a trade... It tends to look for my trades and purposely move against them!

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TheBlackHand
 

Registered: Jun 2012
Posts: 221

 

07-08-12 01:21 PM

My guess is that it was simply a technical correction. Perhaps spread traders taking profits, or one leg getting out of synch with the other and it will revert. Perhaps an opportunity to buy more spreads?

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