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    Forums ›› Main ›› Trading ›› market going up like things are booming... but USA in 'Death Spiral'  

We will crash in September - October
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yes 11 35.48%
no 16 51.61%
this time its different 4 12.90%
Total: 31 votes 100%
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    Page 8 of 8:   1  2  3  4  5  6  7   8  
Ash1972
 

Registered: May 2009
Posts: 432

 

08-08-12 07:42 PM


Quote from piezoe:

So you think that Fed monetary policy, inflation, and the decision to abandon Bretton Woods have had no effect on market direction, huh.



Suppose it's raining outside. Seeing this, you go out with an umbrella. For whatever reason it stops raining right there and then. The obvious conclusion is that taking an umbrella out when it's raining is the perfect 'cure' for rain.

That's precisely the logic you are applying here. QE, money printing etc. is the government's protection against the crumbling economy and does precisely FA to fix it. The fact that the stock market started to go up in March 2009, 5 months after the Fed started QE1, is coincidental.

If you want to know more about dead cat bounces, look at other major bear markets in history. But I guess like most people here, history is not a strong point.

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Ash1972
 

Registered: May 2009
Posts: 432

 

08-08-12 08:04 PM

Quick questions for the bulls: how bullish were you in March 2009?

Or, is your optimism a function of the most rapid doubling of the stock market ever...?

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diablo11
 

Registered: Jul 2011
Posts: 142

 

08-08-12 08:22 PM


Quote from Ash1972:

Quick questions for the bulls: how bullish were you in March 2009?

Or, is your optimism a function of the most rapid doubling of the stock market ever...?



Just trade whats going on, and what you see the price action doing. It's so easy to be a doom/gloomer yet S&P holding 1400.

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piezoe
 

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 4918

 

08-08-12 08:28 PM


Quote from Ash1972:

Suppose it's raining outside. Seeing this, you go out with an umbrella. For whatever reason it stops raining right there and then. The obvious conclusion is that taking an umbrella out when it's raining is the perfect 'cure' for rain.
...



That kind of thinking might suggest a mental disorder.

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Ash1972
 

Registered: May 2009
Posts: 432

 

08-08-12 08:39 PM


Quote from piezoe:

That kind of thinking might suggest a mental disorder.



And your mental disorder is very similar, just a little more sophisticated. But don't worry, you share it with 99.99% of the human population

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