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Maverick74

Registered: Mar 2002
Posts: 17332

05-22-13 09:06 PM

http://www.thedisciplinedinvestor.c...ned+Investor%29

At the highs today we were almost 3 standard deviations away from the 200 day moving avg in the SPX.

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kinggyppo

Registered: May 2006
Posts: 5837

05-22-13 09:16 PM

Quote from Maverick74:

http://www.thedisciplinedinvestor.c...ned+Investor%29

At the highs today we were almost 3 standard deviations away from the 200 day moving avg in the SPX.

Mav we get one down day and you are beating your chest dow 36,000 man, get on the train........

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Samsara

Registered: Aug 2010
Posts: 642

05-22-13 09:20 PM

Quote from Maverick74:

http://www.thedisciplinedinvestor.c...ned+Investor%29

At the highs today we were almost 3 standard deviations away from the 200 day moving avg in the SPX.

Just my take, but I'd hesitate to look at Z-scores of populations that can have non-normal distributions.

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Maverick74

Registered: Mar 2002
Posts: 17332

05-22-13 09:43 PM

Quote from Samsara:

Just my take, but I'd hesitate to look at Z-scores of populations that can have non-normal distributions.

The relationship of the SPX to it's 200 day is for the most part normally distributed and when compared to it's own values, you get a decent "relative" perspective on things. I don't think this is telling us anything that we don't already know, it just displays that insight in a more visual manner.

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Samsara

Registered: Aug 2010
Posts: 642

05-22-13 10:06 PM

Quote from Maverick74:

The relationship of the SPX to it's 200 day is for the most part normally distributed and when compared to it's own values, you get a decent "relative" perspective on things. I don't think this is telling us anything that we don't already know, it just displays that insight in a more visual manner.

Good point, and it does put a perspective on this crazy low-vol climb to the stratosphere. The fact that we're 3 stdev out from a long MA actually surprised me. But it explains how antsy I'm getting.

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DT3

Registered: Jul 2007
Posts: 149

05-23-13 01:34 AM

Nasdaq goes up 40 points AAPL goes down 20, markets sells of AAPL goes up. Seems like there's some long tech/short AAPL trade on.

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