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Bob111
 

Registered: May 2002
Posts: 6425

 

06-15-12 03:07 AM

yeah..today's NG move is f** sick ..

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Deadwood
 

Registered: Jul 2007
Posts: 178

 

06-15-12 05:22 AM

I probably make 75% of my money on news. In fact, if all I traded was news I'd be far better off I imagine.

Fly on the Wall is good, but you need many sources.

Here's 3 examples of trading news that happen a lot.

1. positive news hits fly or some other smaller source..get long until news either hits briefing or gets picked up by CNBC and sell into the spike.

2. Many, many times news gets recycled. Company x issue's PR in march and stock runs. Then in Jun a new PR hits with the same news. Stock spikes, informed traders get short. Usually pretty easy money.

3. Company X gets upgraded/downgraded. If I get the news before the stock moves, which usually happens at least 3-5 times a week, then I'm positioned before the charts reflect the news. Once the volume comes in, I'm on the way out.

There are many more examples, but suffice it to say, I could no more trade without news than I could drive in the dark blindfolded. If one can trade off charts alone great, but every trader I know who's worth a damn depends on news to make decisions. The real key is understanding what the news means with respect to probable price movement.

That said, no book is going to teach you a fucking thing about trading.

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Laissez Faire
 

Registered: Sep 2010
Posts: 4153

 

06-15-12 10:50 AM


Quote from kmgilroy89:

Don't you think there is some important news out there that you need to know and can affect the markets a lot? For example, a merger, terrorist attack, bankruptcy, fraud, etc.



As others have already stated, by the time this hits the wire, the big players have already acted on it by the time you are ready to start processing it.

On top of that, the market often moves opposite of where you think it will move based on those news. At least how I interpret them and I`ve seen others fail greatly in their attempts as well.

These things you mention are called NEWS SHOCKS and most of them can`t possibly be predicted anyway. That`s why trading in liquid markets and with a low risk profile usually is a smart thing.

One may argue that these are not exactly news shocks since they can be partly predicted, but when you know an important meeting is going on and a release is to be expected sometime during the day, you can choose to stay flat that day or window of time if it is believed to be a release with significant market impact.


Quote from kmgilroy89:

Are there particular sources you use to find the time of release?



I use the economic calendar at Bloomberg and Forex Factory. Seems to cover the most important and scheduled news releases.

Remember, your question pertains to day trading. For a player on higher time frames and with a different methodology, news is suddenly more relevant, although price is still king in my opinion.

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