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RenkoTrades
 

Registered: Apr 2012
Posts: 190

 

05-24-12 09:20 PM


Quote from lwlee:

Anyone bullish now?

ES, YM have very clear triple top patterns. NQ and TF are disjointed but do have 3 peaks.

While I think we are way oversold i.e. exponential 20 day MA, I not gonna fight the TA bearish pattern.

I took TF long trade when ES was trading back to 1315.50 in last rally of the day. I think ES 1323 pricing will get traded through this evening (breakout higher) and I want to be long in the TF. I will start scaling out of TF long trade when ES is trading through 1325 and higher.

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lwlee
 

Registered: Dec 1999
Posts: 1126

 

05-24-12 09:33 PM

Well this was clearly a case where the bulls wanted it more than the bears.

While the technical pattern yielded some (depending on where you shorted) gains after the triple top, the extreme oversold conditions were a buying opportunity. I had an inkling that big afternoon spike move might occur again today, since the same thing happened yesterday. But the triple top was a conflicting signal so probably better to be cautious and stay on the sideline.

McMillan believes we rally to the 20 EMA. With a move like today, looks like it's quite possible. It's a good bet there are a lot of traders thinking the same thing.
McMillan: Stocks are severely oversold

This was a clear case where you need to have good money management when trading TA. If you shorted and had some gains, it was good idea to have your (mental/real) stoploss in place, either for breakeven or a small loss (or small gain, depending on good a trader you are)

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lwlee
 

Registered: Dec 1999
Posts: 1126

 

05-24-12 09:38 PM

Good trade. If you were looking for a breakout signal, once ES cleared 1313.75, the previous lower high, might have been a good entry as well. There was volume building at the time.


Quote from RenkoTrades:

I took TF long trade when ES was trading back to 1315.50 in last rally of the day. I think ES 1323 pricing will get traded through this evening (breakout higher) and I want to be long in the TF. I will start scaling out of TF long trade when ES is trading through 1325 and higher.

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RenkoTrades
 

Registered: Apr 2012
Posts: 190

 

05-25-12 11:16 PM

Thank you. The trade worked out and I was able to scale out TF positions when ES was trading through the 1326 to 1328 level last night. I had to hold TF through the ES pullback in the evening to the 1316 level but buyers finally drove price back to the Thursday close price level, all looked good at that point and we punched through.

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IcyTrade
 

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 30

 

05-30-12 07:27 PM

5mins TF... I thought it was going to be a bigger time frame

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