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Madison
 

Registered: Feb 2002
Posts: 1808

 

11-07-09 09:00 PM

Long term, most of it is inflation and survivorship bias when looking at the indexes.

In theory, retained earnings should increase the value of enterprises over time, but in reality most of that is stolen in the form of executive compensation, perks, and graft.

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autocore
 

Registered: Aug 2007
Posts: 17

 

11-08-09 07:15 PM

investing in equity must deliver on average a risk premium over credit. Otherwise the idea of capitalism would fail totally . Or in other words . No one would start any business if this would not be the case . And if no one would start a business it would again deliver a bigger risk premium.

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Martinghoul
 

Registered: Jan 2009
Posts: 1276

 

11-08-09 07:41 PM

1. Real GDP growth due to growth in TFP
2. Inflation
3. Survivorship bias
4. Secular shifts in investor preferences

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