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Wayne Gibbous
 

Registered: Jul 2006
Posts: 2739

 

02-06-11 12:10 AM


Quote from SunTrader:

I agree he should have known better to be so specific such is the confidence he has in his market studies.

But I do think he will be proven right shortly*.


* anywhere from now till end April (scene of a selloff/correction last year).

How is that for an wide open prediction.

I do hope we get some market droppage soon. Some volatility to trade would be nice...

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j2ee
 

Registered: Aug 2012
Posts: 374

 

10-15-12 08:04 AM

Anyone does any serious backtest?

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SunTrader
 

Registered: May 2008
Posts: 143

 

10-15-12 02:45 PM

Not me. Just more than 10 years worth of trading it satisfactory though.

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zgtrader
 

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 304

 

10-15-12 09:00 PM


Quote from j2ee:

Anyone does any serious backtest?



I am not sure if it can be fully tested. It is more of a method than a system.

I coded the TD method a few years back but just as a confirmation signal. I based my rules on the book by Jason Perl: DeMark Indicators (Bloomberg Market Essentials: Technical Analysis).

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jsp326
 

Registered: Oct 2004
Posts: 280

 

10-15-12 09:13 PM

Same ol' same ol'.

A thread about an indicator, price pattern, model, etc. It should've ended when several people said they backtested it and it wasn't profitable.

But no...the white knight comes in. "It works if you look at it in 5 different time frames over 13 different markets. And when my 8 other indicators line up. (See the Fibonacci connection as well?) Yes sir. I've done very well with it. Just don't ask me for an account statement or to make real-time calls. Trust me...I'm typing this from a mobile device from my cubicl...er, I mean, yacht!"

No one can backtest it because it's all so complex and subjective.

Suddenly, the indicator experiences a revival. Its creator is happy (whether it's a vendor guru or a nobody on a trading forum). And the myth lives on. Seeing how long Gann and Elliot have been running, there's no telling how long TD will make a mark (no pun intended).

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kut2k2
 

Registered: May 2005
Posts: 3153

 

10-27-12 12:13 PM


Quote from jsp326:

Same ol' same ol'.

A thread about an indicator, price pattern, model, etc. It should've ended when several people said they backtested it and it wasn't profitable.

But no...the white knight comes in. "It works if you look at it in 5 different time frames over 13 different markets. And when my 8 other indicators line up. (See the Fibonacci connection as well?) Yes sir. I've done very well with it. Just don't ask me for an account statement or to make real-time calls. Trust me...I'm typing this from a mobile device from my cubicl...er, I mean, yacht!"

No one can backtest it because it's all so complex and subjective.

Suddenly, the indicator experiences a revival. Its creator is happy (whether it's a vendor guru or a nobody on a trading forum). And the myth lives on. Seeing how long Gann and Elliot have been running, there's no telling how long TD will make a mark (no pun intended).

+1

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