After recent political statements it looks like the Israelis won't attack Iran
until the US elections are over. Everybody thinks so..., but since everybody (the crowd, lemmings)
think so, that could be a big opportunity for the Israelis to do exactly the unexpected
and thereby profit big by buying puts or shorting stocks en masse
(or buying oil/gas/energy stocks or call options), and then starting a war
when nobody was expecting! These "investors" would make multi-billion profits!
Is this scenario too much far fetched / unrealistic?