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deucy28
 

Registered: Feb 2011
Posts: 417

 

08-16-12 07:53 PM

Well SOMEONE must believe in this Head & Shoulders (reference my post yesterday on the TRADING forum / Charts of Note thread 08-14-12 at 02:48 PM asking if a Head & Shoulders formation on a 10-Yr chart has significance). A report today states a very bearish trader just put on an extraordinary heavy PUT position on HOT (Starwood)....which is a holding co. for various hotel chains.

article: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/beari...-160736212.html

btw..... Since halving my position yesterday on my pair, HOT short / HST long, today through the session with 90 min remaining, HOT has had more strength upward in price than my HST, but the now weakened pair trade position is still in the neighborhood of its best position established yesterday. (Quite the run-on sentence.)

qtn to t.a..... hot hst b.png
This has been downloaded 830 time(s).

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deucy28
 

Registered: Feb 2011
Posts: 417

 

08-27-12 08:03 PM


Quote from deucy28:

Well SOMEONE must believe in this Head & Shoulders (reference my post yesterday on the TRADING forum / Charts of Note thread 08-14-12 at 02:48 PM asking if a Head & Shoulders formation on a 10-Yr chart has significance). A report today states a very bearish trader just put on an extraordinary heavy PUT position on HOT (Starwood)....which is a holding co. for various hotel chains.

article: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/beari...-160736212.html

btw..... Since halving my position yesterday on my pair, HOT short / HST long, today through the session with 90 min remaining, HOT has had more strength upward in price than my HST, but the now weakened pair trade position is still in the neighborhood of its best position established yesterday. (Quite the run-on sentence.)




Mining for paired trades with HOT and HST: See chart below.
(The primary location for my posts are the Trading forum / Charts of Note and the Tech Analysis forum /Spread Trading, although the latter I may not be posting at much more which is true of this thread, which is all but dead.)

This chart is a screen shot from mid-session today. Annotations applied an hour later.

Having gone flat on a notable chart for a pairs trade started Aug 1, by legging out of it a number of days ago, an opportunity may commence to leg back in.

Opportunity may present again with

Shorting HOT
Long HST

This recommendation intended for only myself:
When the terminus of these stock plots are narrowed in half the current distance between them as shown on this chart, begin accumulation of new position.

Again:
The recommendation is intended for myself and not meant to be for anyone else;

hot hst 8-27 mining (b).png
This has been downloaded 728 time(s).

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cdcaveman
 

Registered: Aug 2011
Posts: 3518

 

08-28-12 01:56 AM

has anyone used the volatility of one constituents against another in pair trading for any sort of further look into how the pair trades against each other? i'd love to get some feed back on this... heres a good example of it in this article..

http://www.tradestation.com/en/educ...latility-spread

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deucy28
 

Registered: Feb 2011
Posts: 417

 

08-30-12 02:26 AM

Reference my Aug 27 post suggesting the commencement of a new trade by accumulation of shares
Short HOT
Long HST
when the spread narrows in future days by half the distance at the terminus of the stock plots displayed at closing Aug 27.

The chart showed a 6% difference in the spread Aug 27 at closing. Today's close shows a 3% difference. The threshold is now met to begin accumulation. The opening date of this chart is Aug 1. But I entered the trade not at the start of the session on Aug 1, but much later in the session when the spread was more favorable to enter the trade. My tick meter showed at end of session today a significant, remaining spread necessary to narrow in order to get to the start of my original trade. A conservative approach would be to wait before biting. The potential, however, is so good for success that legging in Thursday should today's closing spread hold is reasonable, too; there is a big margin for error for early entry.

NOTICE: Be advised future posts by Deucy28 will be restricted to CHARTS OF NOTE in the TRADING FORUM (top of page of list of Forums)

hot hst renew trade possible (a).png
This has been downloaded 762 time(s).

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Dr Who
 

Registered: Apr 2009
Posts: 151

 

09-04-12 09:07 PM

Back to PTF, I've been involved in a longterm project outside trading and therefore havent been using PFT for a while. I've also had to change computer as my other developed a fault on the C: drive.
I installed the latest version of PTF, created a load of groups, found some good pairs and was continuing when an error box appeared telling me the app had to quit. On re-booting I found all the work had been lost - 3 hours worth of work.
So my advice to anyone else using the app is to quit regularly and hopefully it will save when quitting.

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deucy28
 

Registered: Feb 2011
Posts: 417

 

09-04-12 09:23 PM

Reference my 8-29-12 post

Short HOT

Long HST

Please see updated chart at TRADING forum / Charts of note.


http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showt...208#post3616208

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