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resurrector
 

Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 176

 

07-17-12 04:01 PM

As mentioned in previous post, added new position in 1.2250 to 1.2350 range. Specifically at 1.2250 and 1.2300.

By price action itself, it might be heading to test the level of 1.2160.

Looking at the thick ichmoku cloud formed up ahead, there is strong resistance at 1.2250 level.

Looking forward:

Technical (Ichimoku):
Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen are converging, a cross over of tenkan-sen above kijun-sen is the first signal of going long should both lines below the cloud.

Strategy (Ichimoku) ideas:

In general, price below the cloud indicate a bearish view. Short position could be added with limit sell at 1.2250.

If adding long position, could consider taking up small position when tenkan-sen cut above jikun-sen.

If price action goes above1.2325, could look to add more long positions.

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resurrector
 

Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 176

 

07-20-12 05:14 PM

Continued from my previous post written few days ago.

3 ichimoku strategies were briefly discussed. I have chosen the first one, "... price below the cloud indicate a bearish view, short position could be added with limit sell at 1.2250.."

Had added another one at 1.2300. In short, more short positions were added during the last few days.

Tenkan sen did cut above jikun sen, and the price action high reached 1.2325. However, there was no momentum to the up swing from the price itself.

Technical (Ichimoku):
Tenkan sen is converging towards jikun-sen between 1.2200 to 1.2250, likely a change towards negative swing in the near term.

Thick kumo cloud ahead provide strong resistance to the price action.

Price action shows support coming in at 1.2150. However, take note if this level is break by the chikou span. It demonstrates the current mode is bearish.

Strategy (Ichimoku)

Do not go long until the path ahead is clearer when revealed by the price itself.

If going short, might look for opportunity around 1.2200 level, using a dollar stop according to individual risk.

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resurrector
 

Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 176

 

07-25-12 05:23 PM

Continued from previous post published few days ago.

Price action has not went went back to 1.2200. Have not done anything for the past few days besides watching the price action itself.

Currently, the price action has traded above the tenkan-sen. Tenkan-sen and Jikun-sen are probably converging towards each other. There might be some price consolidation coming forward. It could be in the range of 1.2100-1.2200.

The Kumo cloud is also getting thinner ahead. There might be chances where the price action will break through the the thin kumo cloud.

Have locked in partial profit and shifted stop loss level to the mid of the kumo cloud for the remaining positions.

Technical (Ichimoku):
Price is trading between tenkan-sen and jikun-sen. With the tenkan-sen and jikun-sen converging, there is chance where tenkan-sen cut above ji-kun-sen.

Chikou Span is not far away from the jikun-sen. With the thin kumo cloud ahead, there is no strong resistance to the price if the price will to start penetrate the kumo cloud.

Strategy (Ichimoku)
The trend remains bearish.

Watch out for tenkan-sen cutting above jikun-sen, and how the price action reveals itself then.

New entrant might consider to establish some long position.

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resurrector
 

Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 176

 

07-26-12 05:44 PM

All positions closed out.

These trades had started since early July with positions added on in between.

The bullish candle form earlier has penetrated into the kumo cloud.

While Chikou Span cut above the tenkan sen and jikun sen, tenkan sen had yet cut the jikun sen.

As mentioned in the earlier post, bull believers might choose to take up positions. Taking note of the thick cloud, its takes strength and momentum for the price action to pierce through.

It might be worth considering to stay put taking no position for the next few days while waiting for the price action reveal more.

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resurrector
 

Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 176

 

07-28-12 04:22 AM

Was looking around the currencies pairs, found trading opportunities in the NZDUSD.

The price action had been in a upward trend, and had went into consolidation range.

As per ichimoku charting, the price has cut below, above, below and now above the kumo cloud.

Technical (Ichimoku):

Tenkan-sen has yet cut above the kijun sen, and kijun-sen is till below the kumo cloud. While price action has traded above the kumo cloud, the thin kumo cloud means the support might not be above to hold the price action when it makes a reversal.

An interesting part of the ichimoku charting is the chikou span cutting above the kumo cloud as of now. It also cuts above the price activities that had happened looking forward.

Price itself probably had not decided how it will go in the way forward by looking at the past which happened to be range bound.

Strategy (Ichimoku)

The preceding trend was an upward trend prior to the range bound activities by the price. The accelerated falling price prior to the accelerated increase in price now do demonstrate the buyers are coming in, with sellers standing aside.

Positions has been established as price pierced above the kumo cloud. What is more significant is that chikou span also cuts above the kumo cloud.

More positions added as price continues to pierce above the previous high within the chikou span.

Will have to see how price reveals itself as the days come by.

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resurrector
 

Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 176

 

08-03-12 05:22 PM

Continued from previous post.

Did not do much since last week.

Price action was choppy since establishing long positions last week.

Have shifted stop loss level higher.

Technical (Ichimoku)

While the price action had been choppy for the last few period, tenkan sen and jikun-sen had not been been able to converged towards each other.

Price itself had not traded near jikun-sen ever since it cut above the jikun-sen

Chikou span had given strong sentiments to the current price action, we could see that those price activities below chikou span will be in a mood of exiting or adding momentum to price action upwards.

Strategy (Ichimoku)

It is advisable to stay put till price itself reveals more information in the periods ahead.

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