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blowingup2012
 

Registered: Mar 2012
Posts: 251

 

04-19-12 11:08 PM

Didnt Jesse Livermore also talk about getting out of the stock which didnt make it above the last high? Forget the big caps, look at the small caps...the IWM...that is the etf of truth. It didnt make it over its last high and looks to be weakening. Tops are certainly not made overnight, but over a course or weeks or months. Its already been several weeks and we are going into May...so do we wait until after May when the market has sold off?

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rockefehler
 

Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 121

 

04-20-12 12:35 AM


Quote from logic_man:

Livermore said that "the first and last eighths are the most expensive". if we really are going into a 2-year ranging market (presumably, this initial leg down will go to the bottom, or near to the ultimate bottom of the range), what this thread is trying to do is catch the "first eighth".

Again, to reiterate my point, that is bad trading strategy. Let the thing confirm first. By a conservative reckoning, we need to break 1330 first.



Patience is everything, tops take their time to form ... this may go down to 12300-12200, and test the top again. Then you have a nice top formation with some body.

The bottom of the range I currently project at 10500. So a fairly narrow range.

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logic_man
 

Registered: Oct 2010
Posts: 1489

 

04-20-12 01:10 AM


Quote from blowingup2012:

Didnt Jesse Livermore also talk about getting out of the stock which didnt make it above the last high? Forget the big caps, look at the small caps...the IWM...that is the etf of truth. It didnt make it over its last high and looks to be weakening. Tops are certainly not made overnight, but over a course or weeks or months. Its already been several weeks and we are going into May...so do we wait until after May when the market has sold off?



The selloff in November was worse than what we've seen so far and it eventually resolved to the upside. As I said, I think it is premature to say anything about where this is going to resolve.

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Wide Tailz
 

Registered: Sep 2011
Posts: 1519

 

04-20-12 01:49 AM


Quote from blowingup2012:

Didnt Jesse Livermore also talk about getting out of the stock which didnt make it above the last high?



He also blew up (pun intended)..... several times.

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blowingup2012
 

Registered: Mar 2012
Posts: 251

 

04-20-12 02:52 AM


Quote from logic_man:

The selloff in November was worse than what we've seen so far and it eventually resolved to the upside. As I said, I think it is premature to say anything about where this is going to resolve.



So you are telling me that this chart might resolve upward?

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luckyluciano
 

Registered: Aug 2007
Posts: 549

 

04-20-12 01:07 PM

Fixating on charts and TA is fixating on the past to predict the future. Fundamentally, *corporate profits continue to increase,
*real estate is bottomed out and turning the corner,
*governments of the world are living in a glass house of transparency where they cannot continue to borrow to get elected much longer
*the noisy news of goverement debts will soon get drowned out with the reality that corporations have adapted and are growing profits which is what the stock markets of the world are really truly all about.

Governments need to get their acts together like the corporations have!

How can you have a real CRASH when corporations are doing so well?

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