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Market Direction - What's your take ?
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Trend Reversal - Major correction incoming 5 15.15%
Healthy pullback - New highs coming soon 19 57.58%
I have no idea 9 27.27%
Total: 33 votes 100%
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FreakofNature
 

Registered: Jun 2011
Posts: 1060

 

04-11-12 04:45 PM


Quote from luckyluciano:

i see many blue chips posting good profits, P/E ratios are reasonable, so why a reversal?



Well only Alcoa so far, new quarter ahead now.

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rockefehler
 

Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 121

 

04-11-12 05:21 PM

Trend reversal. Nice to see that the mayority thinks otherwise.

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murray t turtle
 

Registered: Dec 2001
Posts: 6272

 

04-11-12 08:45 PM


Quote from RedTankEra:

Trend change is a major process, takes time, especially on a daily chart.

Considering this is the first time the SP has dropped below the 50 MA since the golden cross happened, and considering it remains uptrending, I conclude healthy pullback and feel confident for the time being.

If you are brave, accumulate under the 50 on lower lows, then when the 50 once again becomes support, add to your position.

If conservative, wait until 50 becomes support once again, then start to buy.

I'm aggressive, below 1350 I will start to accumulate.


=========
Well election years tend to be uptrenders also

GLD, gold are some good uptrends; but silver ,SLV look like pretty good downtrends.
SPY 200 day ma is still below price which is bullish/uptrending.

But since APR 15 tax selling is near,
closing price isstill below 50dma [SPY]
sell volume is increasing,
parabolic time price says sell,
buy volume, has been trending lower[thats bearish also],
20 day ma[SPY] is bearish.

And while SPY is still bullish on 1 year chart/200dma/yearly lows;
i probably will buy a Bank of America forclosure or something similiar. None of this is a prediction

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Trader Soda
 

Registered: Apr 2012
Posts: 2

 

04-12-12 04:28 PM

I think that what we saw is somewhat an over re-action in the markets the other day.

Like many have pointed out P/E are attractive and the Fed if conditions weaken will jump in.

The Europe problem will not go away long term but for now banks in Europe

have plenty of cash and the ECB will act when they need to and right now just

because borrowing rates on Spanish and Italian Debt climb doesn't mean we

need to run for the hills.

This is run of mill pull back.

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FreakofNature
 

Registered: Jun 2011
Posts: 1060

 

04-12-12 09:12 PM

That 50 is now below price Tank, what's next?

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RedTankEra
 

Registered: Feb 2012
Posts: 252

 

04-13-12 12:32 AM


Quote from FreakofNature:

That 50 is now below price Tank, what's next?



I trade the short term and not particularly involved in long term analysis as I trade size and that requires severe risk management via stop placement.

As a trader I live in the 15/60min tf, with occasional quick studies of the daily. Not too worried about the long term direction, up down sideways, I trained myself properly to trade all market conditions. When you do that, you don't pay too much attention to the future but only the opening in relation to the recent past.

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