Is this the end of the Bearish Gold

Discussion in 'ETFs' started by viktor_k67, Jan 17, 2015.

  1. Gold is confidently moved above 120-day moving average. Gold spot index (^SPGSGC) is in the up-move since November 5 of 2015. It already have recovered more than 20%. We may see steady nice increase in volume. Does it mean that the Gold hit the bottom and now we will have bullish gold market? For two months, the Gold was moving up despite the rising US dollar - the most positive factor on my opinion. Are big investors slowly moving funds from the volatile stock market into precious metals?

    [​IMG]
    chart courtesy of marketvolume.com
     
  2. It moved above that average before and just collapsed back into downtrend, I say it doesn't look very attractive to short and it doesn't look good to buy.

    Would be looking for something else in a strong trend no guesswork
     
  3. Scaleout.Scalper

    Scaleout.Scalper Guest

    Zero predictive value in all those squiggly lines.
     
    blakpacman and wwatson1 like this.
  4. Its too sideways
     
  5. eurusdzn

    eurusdzn

    Would someone in the know comment on why Jan1st started the move in gold.
    A sample of two is not valid but it was Jan1 2014 that the 20 year US treasury behaved the same and never looked back.
     
  6. Eh??
     
  7. ok, why during negative inflation and quite strong dollar Gold moves up for second month in a row??? shouldn't be opposite?
     
  8. Knowing the answer probably wont help your trading so I wouldn't worry about it
     
  9. Chris Mac

    Chris Mac

    Hello Viktor,

    Generally, Gold is up for two reasons :
    Inflation
    Safe Haven

    In 2011, we were during a deflationary period but Gold reached its all-time highs.
    If Gold is up now, this is mainly because of Swiss franc and because shorters begin to lose money. They need to deleverage because they thought Gold would go to USD900. LOL

    I think the Gold trade shows an attractive return/risk ratio.
    Entry point : USD 1240/1260. Of course, 1240 should hold.
    Stop loss : below 1220.

    I drew graph below last week. Gold Ounce was @1293. It is still valid.

    Chris Mac

    gold.gif
     
  10. Nice chart
     
    #10     Jan 27, 2015