Ag trade ideas

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by TraDaToR, Aug 24, 2014.

  1. Handle123

    Handle123

    When I "feel" anything, I know 95% it is going to be wrong, and have taken advantage of these feelings as it is either feeling bad area to enter or feel current trade going to moon, I do the opposite. I do stats for everything I can think about, long term, short term, add-ons, scalping, spreads, options, stocks, etc...I test test test and go with probabilities if a chance of lower losing outcomes.

    I don't know about you, but unless I look at charts each day on scalping, I tend to just forget little nuances as there are many, at least for me based on either chart, indicator, trend line patterns. I have tried to have well defined definitions as far as each pattern as most are different than what most books have, most books don't have well defined anything. With today's software makes it a little easier to have some bars color coded or trend lines appear that you don't have to manually put in.
     
    #1391     Jun 19, 2016
    victorycountry likes this.
  2. Handle123

    Handle123

    Coffee started the day with Rocket ship to the moon, what screams up fast-comes down fast slipping into down trend- a gift.

    upload_2016-8-10_9-51-40.png
     
    #1392     Aug 10, 2016
  3. bone

    bone

    Yep, clients have been seeing good trade set-ups all Summer in terms of spreads in the ICE Softs. Sugar has been especially generous.
     
    #1393     Aug 10, 2016
  4. MattZ

    MattZ Sponsor

    #1394     Aug 22, 2016
  5. Went short Dec Coffee and Oct Sugar this morning.
     
    #1395     Aug 24, 2016
    i960 likes this.
  6. TraDaToR

    TraDaToR

    Why? I am curious.
     
    #1396     Aug 24, 2016
  7. More of a short bias, long vol position.
     
    #1397     Aug 24, 2016
    TraDaToR likes this.
  8. Got out of my short Sugar position. Still holding Coffee through tomorrow.
     
    #1398     Aug 24, 2016
  9. Debating a short in Nov OJ at these levels... ~188ish.
     
    #1399     Aug 25, 2016
  10. TraDaToR

    TraDaToR

    I didn't read much about OJ lately so I don't know the fundamental picture since last winter, but the curve is backwardated. Jan/Mar and Mar/May are at 20 years high. Nov/jan a little lower. It depends if you consider much lower price in '17 are the manifestation of upcoming replenished supplies...Anyway Nov 16 is at 20 years high as well and OJ might follow other softs...
     
    #1400     Aug 25, 2016