Offering auto-trading long-only options system "sys13"

Discussion in 'Trading' started by botpro, Jan 20, 2016.

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  1. Raphael

    Raphael

    You forward tested this for 100 years? You must be pretty old!

    Are you sure you don't mean back testing?

    This trading system sounds like something that was overfit / tuned to the data set its being tested on. That's data snooping and means your results are invalid.
     
    #191     Feb 4, 2016
  2. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    it's all done on simulated data. mathematical masturbation.
     
    #192     Feb 4, 2016
  3. botpro

    botpro

    I am ;-)
    Yes, I am sure it does forwardtesting; as said using GBM data.
    No, nothing of fitting or snooping altogether, because the system doesn't know in advance of any data point;
    it rather works bar by bar, as was explained in previous postings here.
    This is a system with some novel ideas, it's not a simple thing.
     
    Last edited: Feb 4, 2016
    #193     Feb 4, 2016
  4. botpro

    botpro

    Says someone who seems to have no idea of doing such a forwardtest using GBM.
     
    Last edited: Feb 4, 2016
    #194     Feb 4, 2016
  5. botpro

    botpro

    Btw, the average Sharpe ratio is 5.44, avg MDD less than 3.3%, and does about 21 round-trip-trades per day, the results are annual (252 trading days):
    Code:
    Analysis:
      Mean:   6843269.60   684.33   7843269.60   20.92   -3.28
      StdDev: 1257842.27   125.78   1257842.27    1.36    1.54
    
      Sharpe:       5.44     5.44
    
     
    Last edited: Feb 4, 2016
    #195     Feb 4, 2016
  6. Magna

    Magna Administrator

    OK guys, this thread has gone on long enough. The OP has had plenty of time to gather interest here and any further realtime testing/results/discussion will need to take place at a site like Collective2.
     
    #196     Feb 4, 2016
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