Will a Technical Pattern ever stop working/appearing?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by iamnewuser911, Aug 25, 2015.

  1. eurusdzn

    eurusdzn

    Is it possile over time that beautiful , young, curvacious women will not have as much effect on men that they used to have?

    I dont expect that anyone will offer to share their significant others to satisfy an anonomous' needs or curiosity. But , maybe so before their strategies.
     
    #31     Aug 26, 2015
    Speculate likes this.
  2. Solid sound advice and strategy stands the test of time. until, of course, you are dealt a Joker card in the market...which happens from time-to-time.

    That's the beauty of the market...it's part science, part art. -- you can only teach or learn so much...but the next step to being the chosen one...remains to be seen. :p
     
    #32     Aug 26, 2015
  3. Speculate

    Speculate

    lol.

    Thanks - I'll look that up (re poker). Position sizing is surely risk management. If I double my size, I'm doubling my risk surely? I guess its semantics again so not really worth a discussion.
     
    #33     Aug 26, 2015
  4. kut2k2

    kut2k2

    Not just semantics. Why look at risk without also looking at reward? Starting at a position size of zero (percent of your trading acct), your risk is also zero. As you gradually increase your position size, yes your risk increases. But so does your reward, assuming your timing strategy actually provides an edge. At a certain position size, your reward reaches a maximum. This is your ideal position size. Increasing position size beyond this point just increases your risk while decreasing your reward. So don't go beyond the ideal position size. I've written scads on position sizing, look up my Kelly threads.
     
    Last edited: Aug 26, 2015
    #34     Aug 26, 2015
  5. Can you link the thread you've written?
     
    #35     Aug 26, 2015
  6. kut2k2

    kut2k2

    #36     Aug 26, 2015
    iamnewuser911 likes this.
  7. qxr1011

    qxr1011

    assuming trader is a trader and everything is okey with his balls

    stop working - yes

    stop appearing - no

    why is it possible for them stop working ?

    because usually patterns in the particular time periods appearing not in a vacuum, but while there are other patterns in the same on different time-periods ...

    so "working" or not will depend of how this overlap between patterns will occur in the future
    and it is possible that what was "working" in the past often was just favorable overlap,and will not work today, but may work tomorrow

    here is when the trader and his capabilities and vision comes-in .. he is the one who suppose to see whats going on not only on the smaller but on the bigger pictures as well , and adjust his approach accordingly

    that's why algorithm will never will trade better than trader....

    that's why all those morons talking about historical ten percent profit and salivate about it...

    they do not know what dynamic trading is about... they do not have vision, flexibility, they paralyzed by their own rules and expectations,...

    and limitations of their their algorithms is just an extension of their inability to roll with the situation
     
    #37     Aug 26, 2015
    beginner66 likes this.
  8. wrbtrader

    wrbtrader

    I strongly disagree.

    Anything that you need to do that's involved in the process of trading and has an impact on your trading results...its part of your trading plan. If you don't need it to trade or it has no impact on your trading results...its not part of a trading plan.

    Its as simple as that.

    As for risk management...lots of stuff falls under that umbrella including position size. Yet, unfortunately most don't use risk management and therefore position size, capitalization, proper margin use and so on is off their radar.

    In fact, many time I have times seen so called "veteran traders" here at ET call position size as not important in one's trading plan or they disagree strongly that it has not impact on one's trading results. :D

    That too I strongly disagree with.
     
    Last edited: Aug 27, 2015
    #38     Aug 27, 2015