GOOG: http://online.barrons.com/articles/google-time-to-buy-the-stock-1417846206?mod=BOL_hp_highlight_3 http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/fi-126.1.GOOG.NAS?symbol=GOOG&form=PRFISB http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=GOOG Basic Chart#{"range":"2y","scale":"linear"} Trade: With GOOG at 525.26 June 470/465 bull put spread for a net credit of $40 Yield = 40/460 = 8.7% in 192 days or 16.5% annualized Prob = 80% Expectation = .80(40) - .17(460) - .03(230) = 32.00 - 78.2 - 6.9 = -53.1 Price.............Profit / Loss.............ROM % 348.75.............(460.00)................-92.00% 407.83.............(460.00)................-92.00% 465.00.............(460.00)................-92.00% 469.60..................0.00....................0.00% 470.00.................40.00...................8.70% 470.01.................40.00...................8.70% 532.20.................40.00...................8.70% 594.39.................40.00...................8.70% 656.58.................40.00...................8.70%
CBST: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/merck-dives-superbug-chase-cubist-131120456.html http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=CBST Basic Chart#{"range":"2y","scale":"linear"} http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui TRADE: Sell Jan '16 100 put and buy Jan'16 90 put for a net credit of $50 Price................Profit / Loss.........ROM % 67.50...............(950.00)..........-95.00% 78.68...............(950.00)..........-95.00% 90.00...............(950.00)..........-95.00% 90.45...............(905.30)..........-90.53% 99.50....................0.00..............0.00% 100.00................50.00..............5.00% 102.21................50.00..............5.00% 113.98................50.00..............5.00% 125.75................50.00..............5.00% MRK: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=MRK Sell Jun 55 put and buy Jun 50 put for a net credit of $70 Price...............Profit / Loss...........ROM % 37.50...............(430.00)............-86.00% 45.15...............(430.00)............-86.00% 50.00...............(430.00)............-86.00% 53.20...............(110.20)............-22.04% 54.30....................0.00................0.00% 55.00..................70.00...............16.00% 61.25..................70.00...............16.00% 69.30..................70.00...............16.00% 77.35..................70.00...............16.00%
GILD: http://online.barrons.com/articles/...is-cheap-1418302877?mod=yahoobarrons&ru=yahoo http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/fi-126.1.GILD.NAS?symbol=GILD&form=PRFISB http://finance.yahoo.com/news/gilead-faces-lawsuit-over-hepatitis-225929555.html http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=gild Trade: with GILD at 105.62 May 87.5/85 bull put spread for a net credit of $45 Yield = 45/205 = 22% in 155 days or 52% annualized Prob = 79% Expectation = .79(45) - .17(205) - .04(103) = 35.6 - 34.8 - 4.1 = -3 Price..............Profit / Loss.............ROM % 65.00.................(205.00)................-82.00% 75.00.................(205.00)................-82.00% 85.00.................(205.00)................-82.00% 87.05.......................0.00.....................0.00% 87.50.....................45.00..................22.00% 90.00.....................45.00..................22.00% 105.00...................45.00..................22.00% 115.00...................45.00..................22.00% 125.00...................45.00..................22.00%
ORCL: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-to-expect-from-oracles-earnings-2014-12-16?siteid=yhoof2 http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/157356/will-oracle-orcl-disappoint-this-earnings-season http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=ORCL http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/fi-126.1.ORCL.NYS?symbol=ORCL&form=PRFISB http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=ORCL Interactive#{"range":"5y","scale":"linear"} Trade: with ORCL at 40.63 Jan '16 25/23 bull put spread for a net credit of $15 Yield = 15/185 = 8.1% in 393 days or 7.5% annualized Prob = 94% Expectation = .94(15) - .03(185) - .03(93) = 14.1 -5.6 - 2.8 = 5.7 Price..........Profit / Loss.........ROM % 17.00..........(185.00).............-92.50% 23.00..........(185.00).............-92.50% 23.69..........(116.40).............-58.20% 24.85...............0.00................0.00% 25.00.............15.00................8.10% 30.00.............15.00................8.10% 35.00.............15.00................8.10% 40.00.............15.00................8.10% 55.00.............15.00................8.10%
CVX: http://www.forbes.com/sites/johntob...s-analysis-replaces-emotion/?partner=yahootix http://seekingalpha.com/article/2763965-whats-a-fair-price-for-chevron http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/fi-126.1.CVX.NYS?symbol=CVX&form=PRFISB http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=CVX Trade: with CVX at 112.03 Jun 85/80 bull put spread for a net credit of $34. Yield = 34/466 = 7.3% in 178 days or 15% annualized Prob = 94% Expectation = .94(34) - .03(466) - .03(233) = 31.96 - 13.98 - 6.99 = 11 Price............Profit / Loss........ROM % 60.00.............(466.00)............-93.20% 75.00.............(466.00)............-93.20% 80.00.............(466.00)............-93.20% 84.66..................0.00..................0.00% 85.00................34.00..................7.30% 90.00................34.00..................7.30% 100.00..............34.00..................7.30% 120.00..............34.00..................7.30% 140.00..............34.00..................7.30%
SHLD: http://www.businessweek.com/news/2014-12-04/sears-loss-widens-to-548-million-as-sales-keep-sliding http://seekingalpha.com/article/2773345-sears-the-lampert-report http://investorplace.com/2014/12/sears-stock-shld-layaways/#.VJlNZREDY http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=SHLD Interactive#{"range":"1y","scale":"linear"} http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/fi-126.1.SHLD.NAS?symbol=SHLD&form=PRFISB Trade: with SHLD at 33.96 March 45/50 bear call spread for a net credit of $41 Yield = 41/459 = 8.9% in 86 days or 38% annualized Prob = 83% Price.............Profit / Loss............ROM % 25.00................41.00....................8.90% 35.00................41.00....................8.90% 40.00................41.00....................8.90% 45.00................41.00....................8.90% 45.41..................0.00....................0.00% 47.50..............(212.80)...............-42.56% 50.00..............(459.00)...............-91.80% 55.00..............(459.00)...............-91.80% 60.00..............(459.00)...............-91.80%
MCD: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bear-day-mcdonalds-mcd-bear-060006500.html http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=MCD Trade: With MCD at 93.89 Mar 100/105 bear call spread for a net credit of $71 Yield = 71/429 = 16.6% in 86 days or 70% annualized Prob = 73% Price...........Profit / Loss..........ROM % 70.00..............71.00...................14.20% 80.00..............71.00...................14.20% 90.00..............71.00...................14.20% 100.00.............71.00..................14.20% 100.71...............0.00....................0.00% 105.00..........(429.00)................-85.80% 110.00..........(429.00)................-85.80% 120.00..........(429.00)................-85.80% 130.00..........(429.00)................-85.80%
CPB: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/campbell-tops-street-1q-forecasts-122802150.html http://www.thestreet.com/story/1297...-of-campbell-soup.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO http://news.investors.com/121714-73...s-boost.htm?ven=yahoocp&src=aurlled&ven=yahoo http://finance.yahoo.com/news/campbell-soup-continue-hold-investor-164504457.html http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/fi-126.1.CPB.NYS?symbol=CPB&form=PRFISB http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=CPB Interactive#{"range":"2y","scale":"linear","comparisons":{"^GSPC":{"color":"#cc0000","weight":1}}} http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=cpb Trade: With CPB at 44.83 Jan '16 35/30 bull put spread for a net credit of $100 Yield = 100/400 = 25% in 383 days or 23.8% annualized Prob = 91% Expectation = .91(100) - .01(400) - .08(200) = 91 - 4 - 16 = 71 Price...........Profit / Loss........ROM % 22.00...........(400.00).............-75.00% 29.00...........(400.00).............-75.00% 30.00...........(400.00).............-75.00% 34.00................0.00.................0.00% 35.00.............100.00...............25.00% 40.00.............100.00...............25.00% 45.00.............100.00...............25.00% 50.00.............100.00...............25.00%
DDD: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/3d-printing-stocks-surge-2015-183806637.html http://finance.yahoo.com/news/3d-systems-wins-2014-design-140000270.html http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/fi-126.1.DDD.NYS?symbol=DDD&form=PRFISB http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=DDD (look out for HPQ and GE) Trade: With DDD at 32.20 Aug 30/32 bull call spread for a net debit of $134 Yield = 66/134 = 49% in 234 days or 77% annualized Price............Profit / Loss........ROI % 22.50.............(134.00).........-100.00% 25.00.............(134.00).........-100.00% 29.00.............(134.00).........-100.00% 30.00.............(134.00).........-100.00% 31.34..................0.00...............0.00% 32.00................66.00..............49.25% 33.00................66.00..............49.25% 36.00................66.00..............49.25% 40.00................66.00..............49.25%
PCG: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/pg-e-corp-strong-buy-224110540.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=PCG Key Statistics http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=XLU http://finance.yahoo.com/q/co?s=PCG Competitors http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/fi-126.1.PCG.NYS?symbol=PCG&form=PRFISB http://finance.yahoo.com/q/h?s=PCG Headlines http://www.pgecurrents.com/2014/02/...gins-inline-inspection-of-peninsula-pipeline/ http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=PCG Interactive# PCG pays a 3.5% dividend TRADE: With PCG at 53.34 June 40/37 bull put spread for a net credit of $25 Yield = 25/275 = 9.1% in 166 days or 20% annualized Prob = 98% Expectation = .98(25) - .01(275) - .01(138) = 24.5 - 2.75 - 1.38 = 20 Price..............Profit / Loss..............ROM % 30.00...............(275.00)..................-91.67% 35.00...............(275.00)..................-91.67% 37.00...............(275.00)..................-91.67% 39.75....................0.00......................0.00% 40.00...................25.00.....................9.10% 45.00...................25.00.....................9.10% 50.00...................25.00.....................9.10% 55.00...................25.00.....................9.10% 60.00...................25.00.....................9.10%