Moving Average Crossover Trading

Discussion in 'Journals' started by smallStops, Sep 19, 2014.

  1. Future predictable or not ? Very interesting question. :)

    I am still to determine how to choose which MA touch to take.
    What I will do is when I feel like trading, I will take the touch.
    After may be 100 trades, I will bother with the issue.
    As I am really lazying trading wise, the 100 trades might be sporadic.
     
    #31     Oct 8, 2014
  2. Aj2014

    Aj2014

    Like every other TA/charting method, some days it will kill the market, and some days it will get killed.
    Unfortunately it's only when the day has ended when you can see that the market environment that day didn't suit your method.
    Good luck
     
    #32     Oct 8, 2014
  3. kut2k2

    kut2k2

    Not. Even with weather satellites, the weather can't be accurately forecast more than a week out. There are no price "satellites".

    Financial forecasting is a mug's game. If you can accurately assess what price doing right now, you have a leg up on most of your competition and that is your edge.
     
    #33     Oct 8, 2014
  4. Turveyd

    Turveyd


    Not really, if the market isn't behaving to your method over the hour or 2 previously then trade something which is / take a day off.
     
    #34     Oct 8, 2014
  5. After so much philosophy, time to trade.
    Just now first finding pairs who are going near one 100 moving average.
    My problem is which timeframe. :wtf:ops:
     
    #35     Oct 22, 2014
  6. Humpy

    Humpy

    I don't know if you ever watch Bloomberg TV ? But they have incorporated a new feature. It shows a small graph of say Aud/Usd 2 days out. I haven't really done the spade-work to see if their analysts are any good, but they may be.
     
    #36     Oct 24, 2014
  7. Ok I will check this out and have a feel for the quality of the analysis.
     
    #37     Oct 24, 2014

  8. Awww, it's called surviorship bias. Please stop!
     
    #38     Oct 24, 2014
    samuel11 likes this.
  9. Of course. Apple, Google and Microsoft are also example of survivorship bias, so in future anyone who thinks of starting a business while in college or drops out to start in the family garage should simply abandon the idea. It can't be done, and there is overwhelming evidence to prove this. More fail than succeed.

    You know Surf, the nice thing about being glib is it masks stupidity quite effectively. The unfortunate consequence of that is the glib individual is unable to confront reality and work through issues to the point of success.

    Based on your journal(s), you are living proof of what I say.
     
    #39     Oct 25, 2014
  10. Humpy

    Humpy

    OK let's see if they know their onions. Opening Friday's 2 day calls
    6388 FTSE 100 - down
    8999 Dax - down
    4143 CAC - down
    17.31 silver - up
    1.60551 Gbp/Usd - up
    1.2681 Euro/Usd - up
    1943 S&P 500 - down

    that's probably enough to get on with. So roll on Mon night.
     
    #40     Oct 26, 2014
    smallStops likes this.