All clear for now but watch out in 2 years: Dalio Matthew J. Belvedere | @Matt_Belvedere Wednesday, 1 Oct 2014 | 11:04 AM ET "Ray Dalio, head of the world's biggest hedge fund, told CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Wednesday, "I see no real reason for a problem in the United States now other than too tight ... monetary policy." He doesn't see that happening. But the Bridgewater Associates founder expressed concern about the next downturn 18 months to two years from now." http://www.cnbc.com/id/102049699#. Fundamentals Support Raise in S&P 500 12-Month Target Sam Stovall , Managing Director, US Equity Strategy , S&P Capital IQ "S&P Capital IQ’s Investment Policy Committee raised its 12-month target for the S&P 500 to 2200 from 2100, representing a 10% price increase for the U.S. equity benchmark during the coming year, based on the Sept. 3 close. The allocation was unchanged at 65% global equities and 35% fixed income. According to S&P Capital IQ consensus estimates, operating EPS are projected to rise 11.8% from Q3 2014 to Q3 2015. In addition, the year-over-year increase in headline CPI is expected to remain close to the current 2.0% level. Even with the possibility of P/E contraction to below 17X as this bull market ages, we believe underlying fundamentals support this projected price appreciation for the U.S equity market in the coming year".
"Jeremy Siegel: Dow 18,000 by end of 2014" 3 months for 1250 points? unlikely! http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000303573#. he has rather good track record from pundittracker website: Siegel is getting an A+ Jim Cramer is getting a D Nouriel Roubini is getting an F http://www.pundittracker.com/pundits
Sure SPY could easily trend to $220 this year[2014,] about the same as Sam said[S&P 500]; [abc ]AIG, BAC, C sector could easly downtrend 30% +/this year 2014, also . especially since those 3 [AIG sector]have spent so much time below 200 day moving average, 2014 . Not a prediction, simply probabilities. Thanks
wisdom of a turtle! What are Dennis Turtles doing today? Managing Money Jim DiMaria - JPD Bill Eckhardt - Eckhardt Trading Jerry Parker - Chesapeake Capital Brian Proctor - EMC Paul Rabar - Rabar Market Research Russell Sands - Raintree Futures Howard Seidler - Saxon Tom Shanks - Hawksbill Capital Not Managing/Unsure Anthony Bruck Mike Carr Michael Cavallo Sam DeNardo Jeff Gordon Erle Keefer Jim Kenney Philip Lui Jim Melnick Mike O'Brien Stig Ostgaard Rudolph Papirnik Jiri Svoboda Curtis Faith Deceased Liz Cheval - EMC Mike Shannon Craig Soderquist
Jan 2014 "Here's What 14 Top Wall Street Strategists Are Predicting For The Stock Market In 2014" From bullish to most bullish: David Bianco, Deutsche Bank: S&P: 1,850: EPS: $119.00 Brian Belski, BMO: S&P 1,900, EPS: $116.00 Barry Knapp, Barclays: S&P: 1,900, EPS: $119.00 David Kostin, Goldman Sachs: S&P: 1,900, EPS: $116.00 Michael Kurtz, Nomura: S&P: 1,925, EPS: $112.50 Sean Darby, Jefferies: S&P: 1,950, EPS: $121.00 Jonathan Golub, RBC: S&P: 1,950, EPS: $119.00 Julian Emanuel, UBS: S&P: 1,950, EPS: $116.00 Andrew Garthwaite, Credit Suisse: S&P: 1,960, EPS: $115.90 Tobias Levkovich, Citigroup: S&P: 1,975, EPS: $117.50 Savita Subramanian, Bank of America: S&P: 2,000, EPS: $118.00 Adam Parker, Morgan Stanley: S&P: 2,014, EPS: $116.00 John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer: S&P: 2,014, EPS: $115.00 Tom Lee, JP Morgan: S&P: 2,075, EPS: $120.00 Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/strategists-2014-sp-500-targets-2014-1#ixzz3GdfOl8Fn
Aug 2011 market correction, small cap index dropped 30% from 860 down to 600. "This was due to fears of contagion of the European sovereign debt crisis to Spain and Italy, as well as concerns over France's current AAA rating,[1] concerns over the slow economic growth of the United States and its credit rating being downgraded. Standard & Poor's downgraded America's credit rating from AAA to AA+ on 6 August 2011 for the first time.
Alibaba's growth history: • 2007 revenue: US$19 million, 56% increase from 2006, profit increased by 67%, 27M users • 2008, revenue = US$360M, profit = $144M •2009 Q4 2009 Q4 total revenue: $160M, up 39% • 2010 Alibaba generated US$845 million revenue last year, a 43 percent increase from 2009, $220M profit; 1m users • 2011 ($271.48 million) in 2011, up 16.6 percent over the previous year • 2012: income was doubled from $203M to $704M • Oct 2013: Revenue = $1.7B (rev growth 70% (from $703M to $1.7B) • Apr 2014: revenue = $3B, profit = $1.3B Vs. Amazon revenue Q1 2014: $19.34 billion.
Should close out the year around 17750-18000....but since its election year maybe close out the year at 19000....