Anyone Trading Coffee KC ?

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by AdrianHagh81, Aug 7, 2014.

  1. My CL system is running live from an SVM resuits.

    What I did for the KC system, was take the trades from Collective 2 arabica system

    Throw Massive silicon power on it, select the best models that resembles the strategy output.
    then use those as my initial population, then run SVM + GP on it again with the 6 years period back test

    and then select the best models with the simplest parameters.
     
    #11     Sep 1, 2014
  2. This Is an example of an overfit system with over 15 parameters.
    It's for the CL, with 16000+ trades in 6 years.
    cloverfit2.jpg cloverfit1.jpg
     
    #12     Sep 1, 2014
  3. Do you get any slippage between the live SR you get on your CL model and the SR you had on your backtest ?
    How many models did you test on your KC models ? I don't if 10 models with one parameters is as much overfitting as 1 model with 10 parameters. But it looks similar because you have 10 free parameters.

    I ll try to do some work on it and publish it.
     
    #13     Sep 1, 2014
  4. the cl system im using limit orders. not the above posted ec.
    on the kc system the system evaluated about 2 million price to price models in total.
     
    #14     Sep 1, 2014